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How bad for Kenya is a UhuRuto win?

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According to sections of the commentariat – very, very bad. Indeed, the dominant narrative being pushed by the chattering classes goes something like this: an election victory by the UhuRuto ticket will spell doom for the country. Several reasons are offered: foreign aid will dry up as the United States and some countries in Europe turn off the aid taps; our exports to Europe (mostly horticultural) will suffer. Tourism too, could be affected. If strict sanctions are imposed, the proponents of the dominant narrative argue, the Kenyan economy could tumble...

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